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Dangote Refinery IPO Attracts $4.1 Billion in Bids, Oversubscribed Nearly Three Times

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Dangote Refinery IPO Attracts $4.1 Billion in Bids, Oversubscribed Nearly Three Times
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Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals FZE has attracted about ₦5.85 trillion ($4.1 billion) in share applications for its initial public offering, nearly three times the amount it sought to raise, in what is described as the continent’s largest public offering to date, with Nigerian investors submitting about $1.9 billion in orders and international buyers accounting for roughly $2.1 billion.

The offering, which opened on September 14th and closed on October 27th after a two-week extension, involved 4.1 billion ordinary shares priced at ₦525 each, with a base target of about ₦2.15 trillion ($1.6 billion), or 6.9 per cent of all shares sought. 

The IPO, branded as “The People’s IPO”, was designed to broaden ownership of the refinery beyond institutional and high-net-worth investors, with a minimum subscription of 10 shares costing ₦5,250, and applications received from investors across all six inhabited continents, including all 54 African countries, achieving 100 per cent geographical coverage of Africa. The offering was initially scheduled to close on October 13th before the Securities and Exchange Commission approved a two-week extension to October 27th, giving investors across Africa and other international markets more time to participate. 

Despite the overwhelming demand, the IPO fell short of its target of attracting 10 million investors, with Aliko Dangote, Chairman of Dangote Industries Limited, attributing the shortfall to time constraints and difficulties in accessing the offer, noting that many people did not know how to access it, though the exact number of participating investors is yet to be officially determined, with more than 2 million investors having subscribed through digital channels before the offer closed.

Investors in Nigeria put in orders worth about $1.9 billion, while international buyers accounted for roughly $2.1 billion, with the offer expected to expand to approximately $2.1 billion through a 30 per cent over-allotment option, subject to regulatory approval, though even with that expansion, foreign demand still tops the shares available. The refinery, valued at almost $50 billion, is set to list on the Nigerian Exchange in early December, with the allotment plan expected to go to the Securities and Exchange Commission by November 10th, regulatory approval targeted for November 17th, and trading expected to begin around December 8th. 

The IPO’s success underscores the depth of investor appetite for large-scale African infrastructure and industrial assets, with South Africa’s Public Investment Corp., which manages about $220 billion in pension assets, requesting a substantial allocation, while Nigerian pension funds representing approximately 11 million members also participated, highlighting the role of institutional investors alongside retail participation in the offering. 

The Dangote Refinery IPO represents a significant milestone for African capital markets, demonstrating that major allocations can be mobilised from within the continent rather than relying solely on Wall Street or London, with the offering’s success potentially redefining the scale, accessibility and international reach of African capital markets. The proceeds from the IPO are expected to partly finance a $14.3 billion expansion designed to double refining capacity to 1.4 million barrels daily by 2029, positioning the refinery as a critical player in Africa’s energy security and industrial development. 

The challenge now is to convert the record demand into a successful listing and sustained market performance, with the company’s ability to deliver on its production targets, manage operational costs and navigate the complexities of the global energy market likely to determine whether the IPO’s momentum translates into long-term value for the millions of investors who participated.

Africa Presents is a Pan-African digital magazine and monthly publication covering politics, business, economy, culture, tech, and the stories shaping Africa and its diaspora. Visit africapresents.com and follow @AfricaPresents for daily coverage and monthly themed magazine editions. 

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